JS Labs LNG Forecasting – EU LNG storage and regasification

Author: James Sawyer | Node: js-lng-fra-01 | Connection: conn-231932

Daily EU LNG storage levels (GWh), regasification send-out and capacity utilisation. Forecasts combine Prophet time-series modeling and CatBoost regression; shaded bands represent model uncertainty, not guaranteed bounds or limits.

How to read this dashboard: Panel 1 shows historical storage in GWh with Prophet and CatBoost model curves plus storage utilisation percentage on the secondary axis. Panel 2 overlays STL trend and seasonal components with green/red windows where the seasonal signal is strongly supportive or bearish. Panel 3 plots Prophet and CatBoost residuals as a stress test of model error over time. Panel 4 ranks CatBoost feature importance, indicating which engineered inputs drive the one-step-ahead forecast. Panel 5 summarises average seasonal pull by calendar month. Panel 6 provides a forward forecast table with expected storage path, uncertainty band and implied utilisation.